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J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jun 30, 2024 at 10.30am UK
Grenada National Stadium

FC Tokyo
0 - 1
Avispa Fukuoka

FT(HT: 0-0)
Shigemi (66')
Grolli (33'), Kamekawa (53'), Zahedi (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Avispa Fukuoka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-0 Consadole
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Yokohama
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League

We said: FC Tokyo 1-2 Avispa Fukuoka

Although FC Tokyo are above Avispa Fukuoka, the visitors have largely been excellent away from home in the last year under manager Hasebe. Additionally, given the visitors' strong defensive record, the hosts could find it difficult to create many clear-cut chances on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 45.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 26.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Avispa Fukuoka would win this match.

Result
FC TokyoDrawAvispa Fukuoka
45.63% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39) 27.93% (0.314 0.31) 26.44% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 44.72% (-0.783 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.47% (-1.023 -1.02)60.52% (1.024 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.36% (-0.778 -0.78)80.63% (0.779 0.78)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.47% (-0.664 -0.66)26.53% (0.664 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.27% (-0.89 -0.89)61.73% (0.891 0.89)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.87% (-0.509 -0.51)39.13% (0.51 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.16% (-0.481 -0.48)75.84% (0.482 0.48)
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 45.63%
    Avispa Fukuoka 26.44%
    Draw 27.92%
FC TokyoDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 13.77% (0.27 0.27)
2-0 @ 9.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 45.63%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 10.37% (0.383 0.38)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 27.92%
0-1 @ 9.74% (0.237 0.24)
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.57% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 26.44%

How you voted: FC Tokyo vs Avispa Fukuoka

FC Tokyo
29.2%
Draw
37.5%
Avispa Fukuoka
33.3%
24
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 4am
Gameweek 4
Avispa Fukuoka
1-3
FC Tokyo
Matsuoka (82')
Mae (14'), Shigemi (64'), Maejima (90')
Nagatomo (28'), Araki (32'), Bangunagande (57')
Koizumi (45+1'), Anzai (90+3')
Sep 3, 2023 11am
Gameweek 26
FC Tokyo
1-2
Avispa Fukuoka
Kumata (86')
Nagatomo (32'), Trevisan (53')
Sato (2'), Yamagishi (11')
Maejima (47')
May 3, 2023 7am
Jul 2, 2022 10am
Gameweek 19
FC Tokyo
2-2
Avispa Fukuoka
Leandro (49'), Konno (63')
Morishige (52')
Lukian (16'), Juanma (78' pen.)
Croux (29')
May 3, 2022 9am
Gameweek 11
Avispa Fukuoka
5-1
FC Tokyo
Miya (3'), Yamagishi (39', 62'), Lukian (48', 72')
Juanma (28'), Nara (30')
Matsuki (24')
Kimoto (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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