Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Fylde win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.