National League North | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground
Hereford3 - 0Farsley Celtic
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Farsley Celtic.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Warrington Town 2-0 Hereford
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 3-0 P'boro Sports
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in National League North
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
16
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 61.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 16.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Hereford United | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
61.2% ( 0.02) | 22.6% ( -0.01) | 16.2% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 46.07% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.32% ( 0.02) | 51.68% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.54% ( 0.01) | 73.46% ( -0.01) |
Hereford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.55% ( 0.01) | 16.45% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.86% ( 0.02) | 46.14% ( -0.02) |
Farsley Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.14% ( -0) | 44.86% ( 0) |