MX23RW : Friday, December 13 21:55:02| >> :600:102176:102176:
Istanbul Basaksehir
Conference League | League Stage
Dec 12, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
Heidenheim

Istanbul
3 - 1
Heidenheim

Turuc (6'), Crespo (18'), Piatek (68')
Piatek (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Honsak (61')
Maloney (45+1'), Schoppner (73'), Eicher (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Istanbul Basaksehir and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istanbul 3-0 Hatayspor
Sunday, December 8 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Bayern 4-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, December 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Istanbul Basaksehir 1-2 Heidenheim

Though Heidenheim have struggled in the Bundesliga, the Conference League has yielded positive results and performances, and they could take more points on Thursday. Istanbul Basaksehir might be in slightly better form of late, but that does not negate the fact they have been vulnerable defensively in Europe this season, and it is difficult to see how they avoid defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 18.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 1-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-2 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawHeidenheim
60.64% (0.0030000000000001 0) 20.68% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 18.68% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.2% (0.07 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.65% (0.079999999999998 0.08)39.35% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.32% (0.082999999999998 0.08)61.69% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.43% (0.030000000000001 0.03)12.57% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.35% (0.052 0.05)38.65% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.43% (0.061999999999998 0.06)34.57% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.71% (0.062999999999999 0.06)71.29% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Istanbul Basaksehir 60.64%
    Heidenheim 18.68%
    Draw 20.68%
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.64% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.56% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 60.64%
1-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.35% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.68%
1-2 @ 5.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 4.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 18.68%

How you voted: Istanbul vs Heidenheim

Istanbul Basaksehir
33.3%
Draw
17.8%
Heidenheim
48.9%
45
rhs 2.0
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