Brasileiro | Gameweek 10
Jun 20, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
Juventude2 - 0Vasco
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bragantino 2-1 Juventude
Saturday, June 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, June 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 0-0 Cruzeiro
Sunday, June 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
We said: Juventude 1-0 Vasco da Gama
While Juventude saw their wastefulness cost them in the last match, they have been solid at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi in the early stages of this season and will feel that this is a match they can genuinely get three points from. The visitors have lost four in a row on the road this term, failed to score in their last two away games, and we feel they will suffer another defeat in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventude would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Juventude | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
45.91% ( 0.21) | 26.91% ( -0) | 27.19% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 48.03% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.44% ( -0.09) | 56.56% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.46% ( -0.07) | 77.54% ( 0.08) |
| Juventude Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.41% ( 0.06) | 24.59% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.91% ( 0.09) | 59.09% ( -0.08) |
| Vasco da Gama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.69% ( -0.22) | 36.31% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.9% ( -0.22) | 73.1% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
Juventude 45.9%
Vasco da Gama 27.19%
Draw 26.91%
| Juventude | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
| 1-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 45.9% | 1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.89% Total : 27.19% |
How you voted: Juventude vs Vasco
Juventude
63.6%Draw
31.8%Vasco da Gama
4.5%22
Form Guide
