MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 17:00:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brasileiro | Gameweek 10
Jun 20, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
Vasco da Gama

Juventude
2 - 0
Vasco

Barbosa (52'), Carlos (90+8')
Barbosa (84'), Gustavo da Silva Machado Duarte (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gabriel (3'), Galdames (32'), Serginho (70')
Luis (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Juventude and Vasco da Gama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bragantino 2-1 Juventude
Saturday, June 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 0-0 Cruzeiro
Sunday, June 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Juventude 1-0 Vasco da Gama

While Juventude saw their wastefulness cost them in the last match, they have been solid at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi in the early stages of this season and will feel that this is a match they can genuinely get three points from. The visitors have lost four in a row on the road this term, failed to score in their last two away games, and we feel they will suffer another defeat in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventude would win this match.

Result
JuventudeDrawVasco da Gama
45.91% (0.212 0.21) 26.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.19% (-0.206 -0.21)
Both teams to score 48.03% (-0.125 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.44% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)56.56% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.46% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)77.54% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.41% (0.064000000000007 0.06)24.59% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.91% (0.085999999999999 0.09)59.09% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.69% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)36.31% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.9% (-0.222 -0.22)73.1% (0.226 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Juventude 45.9%
    Vasco da Gama 27.19%
    Draw 26.91%
JuventudeDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 12.52% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.79% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.11% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 45.9%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 8.93% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 9.05% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.58% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 27.19%

How you voted: Juventude vs Vasco

Juventude
63.6%
Draw
31.8%
Vasco da Gama
4.5%
22
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030


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