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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Kazakhstan national football team
Nations League | League B
Oct 13, 2024 at 2pm UK
Astana Arena
Slovenia national football team

Kazakhstan
0 - 1
Slovenia


Chesnokov (9'), Bystrov (30'), Islamkhan (61'), Alip (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mlakar (55')
Ilicic (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Kazakhstan and Slovenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kazakhstan

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Austria 4-0 Kazakhstan
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Slovenia

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Norway 3-0 Slovenia
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Kazakhstan 0-1 Slovenia

 After a miserable showing in midweek, Kazakhstan do not look like causing Slovenia many problems in the final third, with most of their main forwards short of playing time at club level. The visitors are still hoping for a top-two finish, and they can stay in contention by edging out their hosts in Pavlodar. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 43.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 28.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.62%) and 1-2 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 1-0 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Slovenia in this match.

Result
KazakhstanDrawSlovenia
28.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 28.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 43.49% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Both teams to score 44.86% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.09% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)60.91% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.07% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)80.92% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.15% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)37.85% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.38% (-0.012 -0.01)74.62% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.18% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)27.82% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.58% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)63.41% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kazakhstan 28.21%
    Slovenia 43.49%
    Draw 28.28%
KazakhstanDrawSlovenia
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.97%
3-1 @ 2.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.61%
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 28.21%
1-1 @ 13.08%
0-0 @ 10.52%
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.28%
0-1 @ 13.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.62% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 8.37% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 3.68%
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 43.49%

How you voted: Kazakhstan vs Slovenia

Kazakhstan
12.8%
Draw
13.4%
Slovenia
73.8%
149
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2024 7.45pm
League B
Slovenia
3-0
Kazakhstan
Sesko (23', 28', 63')
Mlakar (20'), Celar (37')

Maliy (35')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
2-1
Kazakhstan
Sesko (41' pen.), Verbic (86')
Verbic (86')
Orazov (48')
Vorogovskiy (40'), Kuat (61'), Maliy (79'), Alip (90')
> Preview
Mar 23, 2023 3pm
Group Stage
Kazakhstan
1-2
Slovenia
Samorodov (23')
Brekalo (47'), Vipotnik (78')
> Preview
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