Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Laval win with a probability of 48.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Martigues had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Laval win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.24%) and 1-2 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Martigues win it was 1-0 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Laval would win this match.