Europa League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Futbalovy stadion MFK Ruzomberok
We said: MFK Ruzomberok 1-2 Trabzonspor
While Ruzomberok will feel confident of causing the visitors difficulty given their performances against Tobol, they still experienced moments of defensive vulnerability in those games.
Additionally, Trabzonspor will take confidence from the fact their hosts did concede the first goal in both legs of the first qualifying round, and should come into the game as favourites.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 59.62% . A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for MFK Ruzomberok had a probability of 18.08% .
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.78%) and 1-2 (9.87%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%) , while for a MFK Ruzomberok win it was 1-0 (5.7%) . The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.
Result MFK Ruzomberok Draw Trabzonspor 18.08% ( 0.03) 22.3% ( 0.01) 59.62% ( -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.63% ( 0.05)
52.5% ( 0.03) 47.51% ( -0.03)
30.29% ( 0.03) 69.72% ( -0.03)
59.95% ( 0.06) 40.05% ( -0.06)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 23.31% ( 0.05) 76.7% ( -0.05)
84.46% ( -0) 15.55% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 55.52% ( -0) 44.48% ( 0.01)
MFK Ruzomberok 18.08%
Trabzonspor 59.61%
Draw 22.29%
MFK Ruzomberok Draw Trabzonspor 1-0 @ 5.7% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.48% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 18.08% 1-1 @ 10.6% 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.29% 0-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 10.78% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.69% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.12% 0-4 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.16% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.27% Total : 59.61%
How you voted: Ruzomberok vs Trabzonspor
MFK Ruzomberok
Draw
Trabzonspor
70
rhs 2.0
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