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Nashville
Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 at 1.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
Montreal Impact

Nashville
4 - 1
Montreal

Surridge (11', 47', 82'), Zimmerman (20')
Godoy (57'), Muyl (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Zimmerman (64' og.)
Piette (29'), Wanyama (90'), Zouhir (90+8'), Zouhir (97+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 1-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-0 Montreal
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 1-0 CF Montreal

The return of Zimmerman should drastically improve the Nashville backline, but even without him, we believe they will be able to shut down a Montreal attack missing plenty of key pieces and who tend to sustain a lot more pressure away from home, something the Boys in Gold can take advantage of. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawCF Montreal
55.21% (-1.424 -1.42) 23.15% (0.309 0.31) 21.64% (1.109 1.11)
Both teams to score 53.68% (0.631 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.68% (0.040999999999997 0.04)46.32% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.39% (0.039999999999999 0.04)68.6% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36% (-0.483 -0.48)16.63% (0.477 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.53% (-0.868 -0.87)46.47% (0.862 0.86)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.4% (1.12 1.12)35.6% (-1.126 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.63% (1.141 1.14)72.37% (-1.146 -1.15)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 55.21%
    CF Montreal 21.64%
    Draw 23.15%
Nashville SCDrawCF Montreal
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.53% (-0.331 -0.33)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.7% (-0.294 -0.29)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.176 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.051 -0.05)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 55.21%
1-1 @ 10.97% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 5.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.135 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.15%
0-1 @ 6.12% (0.172 0.17)
1-2 @ 5.67% (0.238 0.24)
0-2 @ 3.16% (0.181 0.18)
1-3 @ 1.95% (0.138 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.098 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 21.64%

How you voted: Nashville vs Montreal

Nashville SC
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
CF Montreal
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Jun 22, 2023 12.30am
Mar 12, 2023 1.30am
May 19, 2022 1.30am
Sep 12, 2021 1am
Gameweek 32
Montreal
0-1
Nashville
Bassong (44')
Williams (41'), Anunga (58'), Willis (85')
Jun 27, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 13
Nashville
1-1
Montreal
Danladi (90+4')
Lovitz (89')
Struna (63')
Camacho (33'), Toye (42'), Miller (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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