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Nashville
Major League Soccer
Apr 28, 2024 at 1.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
San Jose Earthquakes

Nashville
1 - 1
Earthquakes

Williams (19')
Lovitz (4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Skahan (63')
Tsakiris (14'), Kikanovic (41'), Akapo (51'), Costa (90')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and San Jose Earthquakes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Nashville
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-3 Earthquakes
Monday, April 22 at 1.15am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 51.18%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 25.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
Nashville SCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
51.18% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 23.55% (0.093999999999998 0.09) 25.27% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 56.79% (-0.354 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.71% (-0.45099999999999 -0.45)44.29% (0.45699999999999 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.33% (-0.44 -0.44)66.67% (0.44500000000001 0.45)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.65% (-0.185 -0.19)17.35% (0.191 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.26% (-0.328 -0.33)47.75% (0.332 0.33)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.71% (-0.271 -0.27)31.29% (0.276 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.36% (-0.318 -0.32)67.65% (0.32300000000001 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 51.18%
    San Jose Earthquakes 25.27%
    Draw 23.54%
Nashville SCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.51% (0.128 0.13)
2-0 @ 8.33% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.65% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.47% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 51.18%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.43% (0.107 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.54%
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.31% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.67% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 25.27%

Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 3.30am
Jun 12, 2022 1am
Apr 16, 2022 8.30pm
Earthquakes
2-2
Nashville
Ebobisse (52', 72')
Cowell (21')
Williams (38', 63')
Lovitz (51'), Haakenson (90+5')
Jul 26, 2020 1am
Jun 21, 2020 3am
rhs 2.0
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