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Nashville
Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2024 at 1.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
Philadelphia Union

Nashville
1 - 2
Philadelphia

Surridge (42')
Godoy (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Carranza (62'), Gazdag (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 2-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, March 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 0-2 Philadelphia Union

The Boys in Gold look disorganised defensively, and they are coming up against a Union side that are finding their form in the attacking third, which we believe will spell trouble for the home side this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawPhiladelphia Union
43.5% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 25.24%31.25% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 55.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)47.96% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.86% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)70.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98% (0.0020000000000095 0)22.02% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.66% (0.0020000000000024 0)55.34%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.18% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)28.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)64.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 43.5%
    Philadelphia Union 31.26%
    Draw 25.23%
Nashville SCDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 9.6% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.04%
2-0 @ 7.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.84%
4-1 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.39%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 43.5%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.89%
1-2 @ 7.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.08%
2-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 31.26%

How you voted: Nashville vs Philadelphia

Nashville SC
0.0%
Draw
28.6%
Philadelphia Union
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
Jul 13, 2023 1.30am
Nashville
0-2
Philadelphia

Lovitz (39'), Leal (43'), Bunbury (71')
Lovitz (81'), Moore (90+5')
Gazdag (40' pen., 84')
Curtin (40'), Wagner (44'), Gazdag (84')
Carranza (90+5')
May 1, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 3
Nashville
1-1
Philadelphia
Leal (85' pen.)
Lovitz (33'), Muyl (37'), Davis (49'), Leal (76')
Uhre (66')
Wagner (60'), Andres Martinez (62'), Blake (84')
Nov 28, 2021 10.30pm
Philadelphia
1-1
Nashville
Philadelphia win 2-0 on penalties
Gazdag (45+2')
Williams (38')
Leal (90+5')
Oct 24, 2021 12.30am
rhs 2.0
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