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Championship | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Leeds logo

Norwich
1 - 1
Leeds

Sargent (15' pen.)
Struijk (8'), Doyle (38'), Bogle (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ramazani (60')
Farke (9'), Rothwell (23'), Sargent (30'), Gnonto (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 2-3 Norwich
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Coventry
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-2 Leeds United

Leeds have largely been defensively excellent this season; they may not be able to keep a clean sheet on Tuesday due to Norwich's quality in the final third of the field, but we are still backing the Whites to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.97%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawLeeds United
25.38% (0.073 0.07) 22.65% (0.218 0.22) 51.97% (-0.28899999999999 -0.29)
Both teams to score 59.98% (-0.70200000000001 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.89% (-0.962 -0.96)40.11% (0.963 0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.52% (-1.002 -1)62.48% (1.002 1)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)28.97% (0.458 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.13% (-0.57 -0.57)64.87% (0.572 0.57)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (-0.44 -0.44)15.55% (0.441 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.52% (-0.828 -0.83)44.48% (0.829 0.83)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 25.38%
    Leeds United 51.97%
    Draw 22.65%
Norwich CityDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 6.43% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.58% (0.176 0.18)
2-0 @ 3.46% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.66% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.43% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 25.38%
1-1 @ 10.38% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.5% (0.197 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.65%
1-2 @ 9.67% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.38% (0.243 0.24)
0-2 @ 7.8% (0.109 0.11)
1-3 @ 6% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-3 @ 4.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.72% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-4 @ 2.79% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-4 @ 2.25% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.73% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-5 @ 1.04% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 51.97%

How you voted: Norwich vs Leeds

Norwich City
34.9%
Draw
14.7%
Leeds United
50.5%
109
Head to Head
May 16, 2024 8pm
Leeds
4-0
Norwich
Gruev (7'), Piroe (20'), Rutter (40'), Summerville (68')
Gruev (54'), Rutter (56')

Rowe (37'), McLean (90+1')
May 12, 2024 12pm
Jan 24, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
1-0
Norwich
Bamford (16')
Firpo (69')

Gibson (44'), Giannoulis (47')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Norwich
2-3
Leeds
Duffy (4'), Sara (43')
Duffy (10'), Sara (34')
Duffy (63' og.), Summerville (77', 85')
Summerville (19'), Rodon (45+1'), Meslier (87')
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
2-1
Norwich
Rodrigo (14'), Gelhardt (90+4')
Ayling (26'), Harrison (71'), James (77')
McLean (90+1')
Gunn (15'), Aarons (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
2Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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