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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 56.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-0 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Leeds United |
21.21% ( -0) | 22.65% | 56.14% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 54.7% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.33% ( -0) | 44.68% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.96% ( -0) | 67.04% ( 0) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.91% ( -0) | 35.09% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.16% ( -0) | 71.84% ( 0) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.27% ( 0) | 15.74% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.17% ( 0) | 44.83% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Leeds United |
1-0 @ 5.78% 2-1 @ 5.6% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.03% 3-1 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.98% Total : 21.21% | 1-1 @ 10.69% 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.65% | 0-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-2 @ 9.44% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.1% 0-3 @ 5.82% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.19% 1-4 @ 2.82% 0-4 @ 2.69% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.48% 1-5 @ 1.04% 0-5 @ 1% Other @ 2.47% Total : 56.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 59 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 56 |
4 | Sunderland | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 54 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 42 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 41 |
9 | Bristol City | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 38 |
10 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 38 |
11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 38 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 36 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 35 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Millwall | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 31 |
18 | Portsmouth | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 29 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 28 |
21 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
22 | Hull City | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 21 |
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