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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 67.34%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 14.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Burnley |
67.34% ( 0.83) | 18.37% ( -0.29) | 14.29% ( -0.55) |
Both teams to score 55.43% ( -0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.08% ( 0.13) | 36.92% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.9% ( 0.14) | 59.1% ( -0.14) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.91% ( 0.24) | 10.09% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.76% ( 0.55) | 33.24% ( -0.55) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.65% ( -0.65) | 38.35% ( 0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.9% ( -0.63) | 75.1% ( 0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Burnley |
2-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.99% Total : 67.33% | 1-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.37% | 1-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.93% Total : 14.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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