MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 07:10:29| >> :600:204596:204596:
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 10, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stadion Qajimuqan Munaytpasov

Ordabasy
0 - 0
Petrocub


Maliy (68'), Plastun (73'), Yakhshibaev (90+1')
FT

Ambros (45'), Bors (79'), Mudrac (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Ordabasy and Petrocub Hincesti, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Legia 3-2 Ordabasy
Thursday, August 3 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Petrocub 0-2 M. Tel Aviv
Thursday, August 3 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
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We said: Ordabasy 1-0 Petrocub Hincesti

Already in the middle of their 2024 domestic schedule, Ordabasy should be sharper than their opponents and ready to take advantage of a Petrocub side who have only played one friendly fixture. The Hincesti Lions enjoyed a fairytale season to earn a spot in the Champions League, but we feel that the Moldovans will have work to do at home next week following a first-leg defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ordabasy win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Petrocub Hincesti had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ordabasy win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Petrocub Hincesti win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
OrdabasyDrawPetrocub Hincesti
47.51% (0.052 0.05) 26.08% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 26.4% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Both teams to score 49.81% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.04% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)53.96% (0.095000000000006 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.6% (-0.081 -0.08)75.4% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Ordabasy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.29% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)22.71% (0.017999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.62% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)56.38% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Petrocub Hincesti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.45% (-0.10700000000001 -0.11)35.55% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.68% (-0.111 -0.11)72.32% (0.11099999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Ordabasy 47.51%
    Petrocub Hincesti 26.4%
    Draw 26.08%
OrdabasyDrawPetrocub Hincesti
1-0 @ 11.96% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.87% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 4.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 47.51%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.35% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.4% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 26.4%

How you voted: Ordabasy vs Petrocub

Ordabasy
57.6%
Draw
21.2%
Petrocub Hincesti
21.2%
33
rhs 2.0
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