MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 09:24:12| >> :600:212619:212619:
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 17, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stadionul Orasenesc

Petrocub
1 - 0
Ordabasy

Lungu (34')
Lungu (22'), Bors (42'), Șmalenea (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Maliy (52'), Yakhshibaev (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Petrocub Hincesti and Ordabasy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Ordabasy 0-0 Petrocub
Wednesday, July 10 at 4pm in Champions League
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Last Game: Ordabasy 0-0 Petrocub
Wednesday, July 10 at 4pm in Champions League
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We said: Petrocub Hincesti 1-0 Ordabasy (Petrocub Hincesti win 1-0 on aggregate)

After last week's cagey first leg, we anticipate another tight contest on Wednesday, which could be decided by a single goal. With confidence after holding their opponents away from home, Petrocub Hincesti may come in with a slight edge, and we back them to make home advantage count and progress to the second round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Petrocub Hincesti win with a probability of 37.03%. A win for Ordabasy had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Petrocub Hincesti win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Ordabasy win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Petrocub Hincesti in this match.

Result
Petrocub HincestiDrawOrdabasy
37.03% (0.533 0.53) 27.67% (0.106 0.11) 35.3% (-0.642 -0.64)
Both teams to score 48.78% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.97% (-0.426 -0.43)57.02% (0.423 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.08% (-0.341 -0.34)77.92% (0.33900000000001 0.34)
Petrocub Hincesti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.38% (0.11500000000001 0.12)29.62% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.34% (0.141 0.14)65.65% (-0.143 -0.14)
Ordabasy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.3% (-0.61799999999999 -0.62)30.69% (0.615 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.05% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)66.95% (0.73099999999999 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Petrocub Hincesti 37.03%
    Ordabasy 35.29%
    Draw 27.67%
Petrocub HincestiDrawOrdabasy
1-0 @ 11.06% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 7.95% (0.046 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.73% (0.152 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.22% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.73% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 37.03%
1-1 @ 13.06% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.09% (0.147 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 10.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.72% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-2 @ 6.34% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 35.29%

How you voted: Petrocub vs Ordabasy

Petrocub Hincesti
56.8%
Draw
18.9%
Ordabasy
24.3%
37
Head to Head
Jul 10, 2024 4pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Ordabasy
0-0
Petrocub
Maliy (68'), Plastun (73'), Yakhshibaev (90+1')
Ambros (45'), Bors (79'), Mudrac (89')
rhs 2.0
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