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J1 League | Gameweek 17
Jun 1, 2024 at 6am UK
EDION Stadium

Hiroshima
2 - 0
Jubilo Iwata

Soteriou (38', 60')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Peixoto (74')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Jubilo Iwata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerezo 1-1 Hiroshima
Sunday, May 26 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 3-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, May 25 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 57.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 20.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Jubilo Iwata win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawJubilo Iwata
57.14% (-0.281 -0.28) 22.6% (0.163 0.16) 20.26% (0.121 0.12)
Both teams to score 53.42% (-0.335 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.33% (-0.54 -0.54)45.67% (0.542 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.01% (-0.515 -0.52)67.99% (0.518 0.52)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.26% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28)15.74% (0.282 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.15% (-0.521 -0.52)44.85% (0.523 0.52)
Jubilo Iwata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.4% (-0.185 -0.19)36.6% (0.188 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.61% (-0.189 -0.19)73.39% (0.19200000000001 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 57.14%
    Jubilo Iwata 20.26%
    Draw 22.59%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawJubilo Iwata
1-0 @ 10.65% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.85% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.07% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.82% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.81% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 57.14%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.132 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.59%
0-1 @ 5.79% (0.104 0.1)
1-2 @ 5.38% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.91% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 20.26%

Head to Head
Jul 2, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 19
Hiroshima
3-0
Jubilo Iwata
Araki (22'), Sasaki (63'), Morishima (68')

Yamamoto (11'), Yoshinaga (16'), Uehara (90')
Apr 17, 2022 8am
Gameweek 9
Jubilo Iwata
2-2
Hiroshima
Suzuki (39'), Gonzalez (89')
Otsu (86'), Gonzalez (90+3')
Graca (46' og.), Mitsuta (61')
Santos (85')
rhs 2.0
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