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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 13
Nov 23, 2024 at 4pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
Aberdeen logo

St Mirren
2 - 1
Aberdeen

Olusanya (19'), Taylor (83')
Gogic (28'), McMenamin (44'), Kiltie (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McGrath (50')
McGrath (43'), Shinnie (60'), Molloy (72'), Lopes (79'), Nisbet (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hibernian 1-2 St Mirren
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 4-1 Dundee
Saturday, November 9 at 5.30pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Mirren 1-3 Aberdeen

St Mirren may have a good home record in recent meetings with the Dons, but Aberdeen have been unbeatable in the league so far this season, and we believe that will continue with a victory for the visitors here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawAberdeen
43.87% (1.121 1.12) 26.26% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 29.87% (-1.064 -1.06)
Both teams to score 51.56% (-0.331 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.22% (-0.191 -0.19)52.78% (0.192 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.59% (-0.162 -0.16)74.4% (0.163 0.16)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08% (0.47 0.47)23.92% (-0.468 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86% (0.669 0.67)58.13% (-0.66699999999999 -0.67)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.77% (-0.85899999999999 -0.86)32.23% (0.858 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.28% (-0.984 -0.98)68.72% (0.98700000000001 0.99)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 43.87%
    Aberdeen 29.87%
    Draw 26.25%
St MirrenDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 11.02% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.101 0.1)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.27 0.27)
3-1 @ 4.26% (0.106 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.76% (0.179 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.058 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 43.87%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.71% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 8.73% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.186 -0.19)
0-2 @ 4.94% (-0.199 -0.2)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 29.87%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Aberdeen

St Mirren
14.7%
Draw
8.8%
Aberdeen
76.5%
34
Head to Head
Aug 11, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 2
Aberdeen
3-1
St Mirren
Gueye (39'), McGrath (54'), Besuijen (81')
Heltne Nilsen (13'), Devlin (80')
Olusanya (45+3')
Idowu (19'), Rooney (36'), Iacovitti (90')
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
St Mirren
2-1
Aberdeen
O'Hara (90+6' pen.), Olusanya (90+7')
Barron (1')
Miovski (45'), McGarry (71'), Shinnie (87'), Devlin (90+4'), MacDonald (90+5')
Dec 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Aberdeen
0-3
St Mirren

Devlin (25')
O'Hara (12'), Ayunga (78'), Kiltie (90+3' pen.)
Aug 27, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
St Mirren
2-2
Aberdeen
Kiltie (59' pen.), Greive (76')
Strain (34'), Robinson (35'), Hemming (90+12')
Hayes (42'), Miovski (90+10' pen.)
Lopes (71'), Rubezic (88')
May 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Aberdeen
3-0
St Mirren
Clarkson (14'), Shinnie (43', 49')

Gogic (59')
Small (30')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic2219216185359
2RangersRangers21125438172141
3Dundee UnitedDundee Utd239763124734
4Aberdeen2110473230234
5Motherwell2394102837-931
6Hibernian237883436-229
7St Mirren2383112738-1127
8Dundee2275103438-426
9Kilmarnock2367102537-1225
10Ross County2367102342-1925
11Hearts2265112531-623
12St Johnstone2243152444-2015


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