MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 09:04:19| >> :600:211426:211426:
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Champions League
Champions League | League Stage
Oct 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Worthersee Stadion
Club Brugge

Sturm Graz
0 - 1
Brugge


Aiwu (51'), Geyrhofer (66'), Chukwuani (70'), Junior Yalcouye (71'), Gazibegovic (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tzolis (24')
Skoras (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Sturm Graz and Club Brugge, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: BW Linz 1-2 Sturm Graz
Saturday, September 28 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Club Brugge

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Charleroi 1-1 Brugge
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Sturm Graz 1-2 Club Brugge

 If Club Brugge can replicate their performance against Dortmund on Wednesday, then there is every chance they could make good on their opportunities in front of goal this time around. It would not be surprising if the visitors scored first and found success during counter-attacks and take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 49.76%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawClub Brugge
27.83% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04) 22.4% (-0.067 -0.07) 49.76% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 63.25% (0.219 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.18% (0.3 0.3)36.82% (-0.301 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.01% (0.326 0.33)58.99% (-0.32700000000001 -0.33)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51% (0.13 0.13)25.48% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.68% (0.181 0.18)60.32% (-0.182 -0.18)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.89% (0.145 0.14)15.11% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.33% (0.274 0.27)43.67% (-0.275 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 27.83%
    Club Brugge 49.76%
    Draw 22.4%
Sturm GrazDrawClub Brugge
2-1 @ 6.8% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.27% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 3.6% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.1% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.64% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 27.83%
1-1 @ 9.95% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.85% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.85% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.4%
1-2 @ 9.4% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.28% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.88% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.92% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 4.33% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-3 @ 4.05% (0.033 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.8% (0.026 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.05% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.91% (0.025 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.06% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 49.76%

How you voted: Sturm Graz vs Brugge

Sturm Graz
18.3%
Draw
18.8%
Club Brugge
62.8%
191
rhs 2.0
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