MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 13:20:18| >> :600:1017449:1017449:
Coupe de France | Round of 64
Dec 22, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
 

Thionville Lusitanos
2 - 2
Valenciennes

Omosanya (48'), Vitoux (90+7')
Moustaid (80'), Poinsignon (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lilepo (14'), Woudenberg (74')
Valenciennes win 5-4 on penalties
Coverage of the Coupe de France Round of 64 clash between Thionville Lusitanos and Valenciennes.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Etoile Matoury 0-2 Thionville Lusitanos
Saturday, November 30 at 7pm in Coupe de France
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Last Game: Valenciennes 4-3 Neuilly sur Marne
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Coupe de France

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Thionville Lusitanos had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Thionville Lusitanos win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Thionville LusitanosDrawValenciennes
29.53% (-0.827 -0.83) 27.79% (0.74 0.74) 42.68% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Both teams to score 46.9% (-2.501 -2.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.34% (-3 -3)58.66% (3.002 3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.79% (-2.392 -2.39)79.21% (2.394 2.39)
Thionville Lusitanos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.42% (-2.212 -2.21)35.58% (2.214 2.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.65% (-2.356 -2.36)72.34% (2.358 2.36)
Valenciennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.8% (-1.338 -1.34)27.19% (1.34 1.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.39% (-1.778 -1.78)62.61% (1.78 1.78)
Score Analysis
    Thionville Lusitanos 29.53%
    Valenciennes 42.67%
    Draw 27.79%
Thionville LusitanosDrawValenciennes
1-0 @ 10% (0.53 0.53)
2-1 @ 6.73% (-0.302 -0.3)
2-0 @ 5.17% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.32% (-0.254 -0.25)
3-0 @ 1.78% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.231 -0.23)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 29.53%
1-1 @ 13.02% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 9.68% (1.05 1.05)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.374 -0.37)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.79%
0-1 @ 12.59% (0.93 0.93)
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.186 -0.19)
0-2 @ 8.2% (0.31 0.31)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.227 -0.23)
0-3 @ 3.56% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.243 -0.24)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 42.67%

rhs 2.0
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