Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Apr 7, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca4 - 1Atlas
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Atlas.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Pachuca 2-3 Toluca
Sunday, March 31 at 2am in Liga MX
Sunday, March 31 at 2am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Atlas 2-3 Queretaro
Monday, April 1 at 12am in Liga MX
Monday, April 1 at 12am in Liga MX
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Atlas had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for an Atlas win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Atlas |
54.41% ( -0.44) | 23.9% ( 0.23) | 21.69% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 51.4% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
