Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tours win with a probability of 46.06%. A win for Cesson had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tours win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.1%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Cesson win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tours would win this match.