Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.