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FA Cup
Wealdstone
FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. George's Stadium

Wealdstone
4 - 1
Gosport Borough

Reid (45+2', 88', 90+4' pen.), Kretzschmar (56')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wooden (21')
Morrison (70')
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Wealdstone and Gosport Borough.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wealdstone

All competitions
Last Game: Gateshead 1-0 Wealdstone
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League

Gosport Borough

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Oxford City 2-3 Gosport Borough
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Gosport Borough had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Gosport Borough win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.

Result
WealdstoneDrawGosport Borough
47.13% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 24% (0.0020000000000024 0) 28.87% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.35% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.38% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)43.62% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.98% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)66.01% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Wealdstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.33% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)18.67% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)50% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Gosport Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)28.25% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)63.96% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Wealdstone 47.13%
    Gosport Borough 28.87%
    Draw 23.99%
WealdstoneDrawGosport Borough
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.2%
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 47.13%
1-1 @ 11.18%
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.99%
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.21% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 28.87%

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