Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 73.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.19% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 9.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 3-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%) , while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.