Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 69.03%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for had a probability of 12.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a win it was 0-1 (4.24%).
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Toulouse |
69.03% | 18.95% | 12.02% |
Both teams to score 46.59% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.86% | 45.14% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.51% | 67.49% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.04% | 11.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.64% | 37.36% |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.92% | 47.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.45% | 82.55% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Toulouse |
2-0 @ 12.69% 1-0 @ 11.95% 2-1 @ 9.57% 3-0 @ 8.99% 3-1 @ 6.77% 4-0 @ 4.77% 4-1 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 2.55% 5-0 @ 2.03% 5-1 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.22% Total : 69.01% | 1-1 @ 9.01% 0-0 @ 5.63% 2-2 @ 3.6% Other @ 0.71% Total : 18.95% | 0-1 @ 4.24% 1-2 @ 3.39% 0-2 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.88% Total : 12.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |