Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 50.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.02% and a win for Metz had a probability of 24.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%) , while for a Metz win it was 1-2 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.