Ligue 1
May 17, 2026 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Riviera
  • Mohamed-Ali Cho 46' yellowcard
  • Hicham Boudaoui 46' yellowcard
  • Isak Jansson 72' yellowcard
  • Isak Jansson 73' yellowcard
  • Kevin Carlos 78' yellowcard
  • Kevin Carlos 79' yellowcard
  • Tom Louchet 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jean-Philippe Gbamin 65'
  • yellowcard Boubacar Traoré 65'
  • yellowcard Boubacar Traoré 66'
  • yellowcard Jahyann Pandore 75'
  • yellowcard Michel Mboula 85'

Nice vs Metz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
Auxerre 2 - 1 Nice
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Elye Wahi

Metz

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
Metz 0 - 4 Lorient
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Gauthier Hein

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 50.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.02% and a win for Metz had a probability of 24.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%) , while for a Metz win it was 1-2 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result

Nice 50.55% (+0.18)
Draw 25.02% (-0.02)
Metz 24.46% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.06% (+0.35)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.99% (+0.90)
Under 1.5 23.01% (-0.89)
Over 2.5 54.14% (+1.57)
Under 2.5 45.86% (-1.57)
Over 3.5 31.82% (+1.49)
Under 3.5 68.18% (-1.48)
Over 4.5 18.84% (+1.24)
Under 4.5 81.16% (-1.24)

First Half Winner

Nice 38.51% (-1.21)
Draw 40.23% (+1.08)
Metz 21.26% (+0.13)

Team To Score First

Nice 57.89% (+0.54)
No Goal 6.5% (-0.21)
Metz 35.61% (-0.33)

Corners

Over 8 62.12% (+1.53)
Equal 8 10.51% (-0.66)
Under 8 27.37% (-0.88)
Over 9 51.05% (+2.09)
Equal 9 11.07% (-0.57)
Under 9 37.88% (-1.53)
Over 10.5 40.3% (+2.46)
Under 10.5 59.7% (-2.46)

Nice Goals

Over 1.5 49.32% (+1.11)
Under 1.5 50.68% (-1.11)
Over 2.5 24.21% (+0.98)
Under 2.5 75.79% (-0.97)
Over 3.5 10.16% (+0.57)
Under 3.5 89.84% (-0.57)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5 60.74% (+0.45)
Under 0.5 39.26% (-0.45)
Over 1.5 28.26% (+0.97)
Under 1.5 71.74% (-0.97)
Over 2.5 9.79% (+0.77)
Under 2.5 90.21% (-0.78)
Over 3.5 2.76% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 97.24% (-0.22)

Score analysis

Nice 50.55%
Draw 25.02%
Metz 24.46%
Nice
1-0 @ 10.17% (-0.32)
2-1 @ 9.59% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.64% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.12% (+0.27)
Other @ 9.83% (+0.40)
Total : 50.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.31)
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.21)
2-2 @ 5.48% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.33% (+0.17)
Total : 25.02%
Metz
1-2 @ 6.63% (+0.08)
0-1 @ 6.37% (-0.30)
0-2 @ 3.24% (-0.22)
1-3 @ 2.45% (+0.23)
2-3 @ 1.89% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.43% (+0.06)
Total : 24.46%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Nov 9, 2025 4.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Riviera
  • Melvin Bard 61' yellowcard
  • Evann Guessand 77' goal
  • yellowcard Cheikh Sabaly 57'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Saint-Symphorien
  • goal Hicham Boudaoui 14'
  • yellowcard Khephren Thuram 21'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 22
Jan 23, 2022 12.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jean-Armel Kana-Biyik 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Amadou Salif Mbengue 55' yellowcard
  • Papa Ndiaga Yade 57' yellowcard
  • goal Khephren Thuram 58'
  • yellowcard Pablo Rosario 64'
  • goal Amine Gouiri 86'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 15
Nov 27, 2021 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Andy Delort 21' yellowcard
  • Calvin Stengs 39' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin N'Doram 4'
  • yellowcard Jemerson 16'
  • goal Fabien Centonze 31'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Feb 21, 2021 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Amine Gouiri 61' goal
  • Malik Sellouki 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Boubakar Kouyate 15'
  • goal Lamine Gueye 38'