We said: Nashville SC 2-1 DC United
Nashville and DC United find themselves in identical predicaments, both sides desperately seeking a late playoff berth and enduring a recent drought of victories.
Nevertheless, given the hosts' historical dominance in this fixture on home turf, we are inclined to predict a win for them on Thursday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for DC United had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.