We said: Toronto 1-2 DC United
We are not convinced that Toronto will be able to create many scoring opportunities on Saturday, given the key pieces out through suspension and the lack of depth when you go down their roster.
As leaky as DC have been on the back end, Benteke and company should find a way through what has been an inconsistent Toronto backline in 2024.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 51.17%. A win for DC United had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.