Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 55.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.