Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 62.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 16.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.