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Major League Soccer
Vancouver Whitecaps
Major League Soccer
Aug 6, 2022 at 3.30am UK
Empire Field
Houston Dynamo

Vancouver
2 - 1
Houston

Becher (89'), Cavallini (90+2')
Cavallini (78'), Gauld (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Picault (6')
Herrera (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vancouver Whitecaps

Last Six:
Last Game: Nashville 1-1 Vancouver
Sunday, July 31 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo

Last Six:
Last Game: Philadelphia 6-0 Houston
Sunday, July 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 Houston Dynamo

 Expect to see a bigger defensive commitment from both sides in this one, but as much as the Dynamo will be keen to improve, the Caps newcomers have made them a sharper and more creative team, while they have a lot more difference makers who have managed to give this team some positive results. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 50.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 24.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vancouver Whitecaps in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vancouver Whitecaps.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawHouston Dynamo
50.68% (1.375 1.38) 24.89% (-0.271 -0.27) 24.43% (-1.104 -1.1)
Both teams to score 51.61% (-0.245 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.28% (0.205 0.2)50.71% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.38% (0.179 0.18)72.61% (-0.178 -0.18)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.98% (0.65400000000001 0.65)20.01% (-0.654 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.78% (1.039 1.04)52.21% (-1.037 -1.04)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.53% (-0.84 -0.84)35.47% (0.841 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.77% (-0.879 -0.88)72.23% (0.881 0.88)
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 50.68%
    Houston Dynamo 24.43%
    Draw 24.88%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 11.42% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 9.19% (0.29 0.29)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.149 0.15)
3-0 @ 4.93% (0.252 0.25)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.05% (0.099 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.139 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 50.68%
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 7.1% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 7.36% (-0.232 -0.23)
1-2 @ 6.14% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-2 @ 3.81% (-0.211 -0.21)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 24.43%

How you voted: Vancouver vs Houston

Vancouver Whitecaps
81.3%
Draw
12.5%
Houston Dynamo
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 11.30pm
Houston
2-1
Vancouver
Quintero (33', 50')
Ulfarsson (87')
Cavallini (14')
Brown (28'), Veselinovic (80')
Sep 30, 2021 2am
Houston
0-0
Vancouver

Baldisimo (47'), Dajome (55')
Jul 21, 2021 3am
Vancouver
0-0
Houston

Rose (24'), Alexandre (83')

Hadebe (42'), Junqua (56'), Picault (83')
May 23, 2021 2am
Houston
2-1
Vancouver
Rodriguez (8'), Urruti (42')
Jones (22'), Corona (32'), Garcia (82'), Picault (88')
Caicedo (80')
Cavallini (21'), Bikel (52'), Baldisimo (81')
Sep 20, 2020 12am
Vancouver
P-P
Houston
rhs 2.0
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