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Major League Soccer
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Aug 6, 2022 at 8pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Seattle Sounders

Atlanta
2 - 1
Seattle

Cisneros (23'), Gutman (90+4')
Sanchez (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Roldan (68')
Roldan (82'), Lodeiro (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

Last Six:
Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-0 Atlanta
Saturday, July 30 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders

Last Six:
Last Game: Seattle 1-0 Dallas
Wednesday, August 3 at 3am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-1 Seattle Sounders

 Although both sides will be looking to return to winning ways this weekend as they continue to push for at least a top-seven finish, a tight affair could be on the cards here. Three of the four MLS meetings between Atlanta and Seattle have ended as a draw and with little to separate these two teams, they may be forced to share the spoils again at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 54.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Seattle Sounders win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawSeattle Sounders
54.75% (-0.74 -0.74) 23.76% (0.306 0.31) 21.49% (0.437 0.44)
Both teams to score 51.56% (-0.336 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.96% (-0.752 -0.75)49.03% (0.754 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.88% (-0.683 -0.68)71.11% (0.685 0.69)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.21% (-0.544 -0.54)17.79% (0.548 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.5% (-0.948 -0.95)48.5% (0.952 0.95)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)37.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.94% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)74.06% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 54.74%
    Seattle Sounders 21.49%
    Draw 23.75%
Atlanta UnitedDrawSeattle Sounders
1-0 @ 11.44% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 9.88% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.69% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.46% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.42% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 54.74%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 6.63% (0.202 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.75%
0-1 @ 6.54% (0.201 0.2)
1-2 @ 5.58% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.23% (0.1 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 21.49%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Seattle

Atlanta United
20.0%
Draw
33.3%
Seattle Sounders
46.7%
15
Head to Head
May 23, 2021 9.30pm
Seattle
1-1
Atlanta
Ruidiaz (6')
Tolo (31'), Arreaga (69'), Roldan (90+2')
Martinez (86' pen.)
Lopez (2'), Hyndman (32'), Rossetto (90+2'), Ibarra (90+3')
Jul 12, 2020 5.30pm
Atlanta
P-P
Seattle
Jul 14, 2019 8.55pm
Seattle
2-1
Atlanta
Ruidiaz (59'), Shipp (71')
Martinez (65')
Robinson (22'), Parkhurst (41'), Escobar (82')
Jul 15, 2018 7pm
Atlanta
1-1
Seattle
Martinez (48')
Gonzalez Pirez (15'), Escobar (44'), Parkhurst (56')
Lodeiro (45' pen.)
McCrary (26'), Lodeiro (94')
McCrary (63')
Apr 1, 2017 3am
Seattle
0-0
Atlanta

Gressel (20'), Asad (43')
rhs 2.0
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