MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:12:23| >> :60:145:145:
Croatia national football team
International Friendly
Mar 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
 
Bulgaria national football team

Croatia
2 - 1
Bulgaria

Modric (76' pen.), Kramaric (80')
Caleta-Car (33'), Barisic (78'), Pongracic (89')
Caleta-Car (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Despodov (69')
Despodov (65'), Hristov (86')
Despodov (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's International Friendlies clash between Croatia and Bulgaria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Croatia

Last Six:
Last Game: Croatia 1-1 France
Monday, June 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Denmark vs. Croatia
Friday, June 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Bulgaria

Last Six:
Last Game: Bulgaria 2-5 Georgia
Sunday, June 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Gibraltar vs. Bulgaria
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Croatia 2-1 Bulgaria

 Though the slow process of introducing up-and-coming players into the Bulgaria squad has started to have some effect, they remain vulnerable defensively and even a second-string Croatia side can pick them off at least once over the course of 90 minutes. While experimentation with systems and personnel may dilute the second half, it could be a competitive duel between the two Balkan counterparts, with future selection at stake for several players taking to the field in Qatar's second city. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 65.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 10.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.24%) and 3-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.13%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Croatia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Croatia.

Result
CroatiaDrawBulgaria
65.13%24.42%10.45%
Both teams to score 29.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.13%66.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.82%85.18%
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25%20.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.62%53.38%
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
36.68%63.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.74%92.26%
Score Analysis
    Croatia 65.12%
    Bulgaria 10.45%
    Draw 24.41%
CroatiaDrawBulgaria
1-0 @ 20.66%
2-0 @ 16.24%
3-0 @ 8.52%
2-1 @ 7.42%
3-1 @ 3.89%
4-0 @ 3.35%
4-1 @ 1.53%
5-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 65.12%
0-0 @ 13.13%
1-1 @ 9.44%
2-2 @ 1.7%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 6%
1-2 @ 2.16%
0-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 10.45%

How you voted: Croatia vs Bulgaria

Croatia
79.5%
Draw
18.2%
Bulgaria
2.3%
44
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2015 7.45pm
Group H
Croatia
3-0
Bulgaria
Perisic (2'), Rakitic (42'), Kalinic (81')
Perisic (86')
Cop (89')
> Match Report
Oct 10, 2014 7.45pm
Group H
Bulgaria
0-1
Croatia

Zanev (16')
Bodurov (36' og.)
Brozovic (23'), Vida (52'), Olic (84')
> Match Report
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