We said: France 1-0 Croatia
With jellied legs possibly forcing Dalic to disrupt the defensive harmony more than he would have wanted, a refreshed set of French attacking options can finally help Les Bleus post their first win in the group at the fourth attempt.
Deschamps's side will still be in for a rough ride with Modric and Kovacic dictating play from the middle, but Croatia's frontline is not all that fear-inducing.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 53.7%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Croatia had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Croatia win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.