Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 65.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 15.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Widzew Lodz win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.