Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
Legia1 - 0Korona Kielce
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Legia Warsaw and Korona Kielce.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Austria Vienna 3-5 Legia
Thursday, August 17 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 17 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Korona Kielce 0-1 Gornik
Saturday, August 12 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, August 12 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 66.53%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 14.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Korona Kielce win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | Korona Kielce |
66.53% ( 0.05) | 18.57% ( -0.02) | 14.91% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.38% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
