MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 11:35:05| >> :600:161917:161917:
Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 6pm UK
Generali Arena

Austria Vienna
3 - 5
Legia

Gruber (68', 82'), Ranftl (90+6')
Gruber (45+3'), da Graca (64'), Fischer (72')
Jukic (89')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Elitim (39'), Gual (45'), Pekhart (58'), Rosolek (87'), Muci (90+10')
Elitim (35'), Augustyniak (45+3'), Slisz (89'), Pesqueira (90+3'), Muci (90+10')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Austria Vienna and Legia Warsaw.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Austria Vienna win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.

Result
Austria ViennaDrawLegia Warsaw
28.89% (0.029 0.03) 24.08% (-0.159 -0.16) 47.02% (0.123 0.12)
Both teams to score 58.09% (0.564 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.02% (0.729 0.73)43.98% (-0.733 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.64% (0.707 0.71)66.36% (-0.711 -0.71)
Austria Vienna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58% (0.39400000000001 0.39)28.41% (-0.398 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.83% (0.494 0.49)64.17% (-0.49799999999999 -0.5)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.15% (0.339 0.34)18.85% (-0.343 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.69% (0.564 0.56)50.3% (-0.567 -0.57)
Score Analysis
    Austria Vienna 28.9%
    Legia Warsaw 47.02%
    Draw 24.07%
Austria ViennaDrawLegia Warsaw
2-1 @ 7.08% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.74% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-0 @ 4.24% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.97% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 28.9%
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.36% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-2 @ 7.46% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.22% (0.061 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.074 0.07)
1-4 @ 2.18% (0.048 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.73% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.37% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 47.02%

How you voted: Austria Vienna vs Legia

Austria Vienna
43.3%
Draw
13.3%
Legia Warsaw
43.3%
30
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2023 6pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Legia
1-2
Austria Vienna
Muci (87')
Pekhart (90+6')
Huskovic (11', 56')
Potzmann (21'), Ranftl (38')
rhs 2.0
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