Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadion Miejski Widzewa Lodz

Widzew Lodz
1 - 0
Stal Mielec

Cigaņiks (73')
Shehu (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Trabka (42'), Kieres (43')
Kieres (0')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Widzew Lodz and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Widzew Lodz

All competitions
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 3-2 Widzew Lodz
Friday, September 29 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Last Game: Stal Mielec 2-3 Korona Kielce
Friday, September 29 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Widzew Lodz win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Widzew Lodz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Widzew Lodz in this match.

Result
Widzew LodzDrawStal Mielec
49.54% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)24.66% (-0.026 -0.03)25.8% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.65% (0.113 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.33% (0.136 0.14)48.67% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.22% (0.123 0.12)70.78% (-0.128 -0.13)
Widzew Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.33% (0.046999999999997 0.05)19.67% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.34% (0.080999999999996 0.08)51.66% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.79% (0.099999999999994 0.1)33.2% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.19% (0.115 0.11)69.81% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Widzew Lodz 49.54%
    Stal Mielec 25.8%
    Draw 24.65%
Widzew LodzDrawStal Mielec
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.63% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.16% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.68% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.1% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 49.54%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.53% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.65%
0-1 @ 7.2% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.46% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.97%
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 25.8%