MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 13:11:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
Rakow
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 5
Aug 19, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Rakow

Rakow
2 - 0
Stal Mielec

Papanikolaou (45+2'), Nowak (63')
Lederman (34'), Tudor (48'), Zwolinski (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wlazlo (46'), Hinokio (55'), Ehmann (88')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Rakow Czestochowa and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aris Limassol 0-1 Rakow
Tuesday, August 15 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Stal Mielec 3-1 Slask Wroclaw
Saturday, August 12 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 66.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 13.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Rakow Czestochowa in this match.

Result
Rakow CzestochowaDrawStal Mielec
66.59% (-0.261 -0.26) 19.65% (0.152 0.15) 13.75% (0.107 0.11)
Both teams to score 49.35% (-0.21 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.84% (-0.434 -0.43)44.15% (0.433 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.46% (-0.426 -0.43)66.53% (0.42400000000001 0.42)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.65% (-0.202 -0.2)12.35% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.82% (-0.424 -0.42)38.18% (0.422 0.42)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.3% (-0.112 -0.11)43.7% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.12% (-0.093 -0.09)79.88% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Rakow Czestochowa 66.58%
    Stal Mielec 13.75%
    Draw 19.65%
Rakow CzestochowaDrawStal Mielec
2-0 @ 11.8% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 11.28% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 8.23% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.81% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.3% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.56% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.8% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.49% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 66.58%
1-1 @ 9.35% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 19.65%
0-1 @ 4.47% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 3.87% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.85% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 13.75%

rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan18122433141938
2Rakow CzestochowaRakow18106225111436
3Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia1810533225735
4Legia WarsawLegia1895436231332
5KS CracoviaCracovia189453628831
6Gornik ZabrzeGornik189362620630
7Motor Lublin188462730-328
8Pogon SzczecinSzczecin188372521427
9Widzew Lodz187472425-125
10Katowice186572725223
11Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice185761818022
12Radomiak Radom1862102326-320
13Stal Mielec185491924-519
14Zaglebie Lubin185491627-1119
15Puszcza Niepolomice184681726-918
16Korona Kielce184681527-1218
17Lechia GdanskGdansk1835101833-1514
18Slask Wroclaw1817101428-1410


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