Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (7.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.