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Premier League
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Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Wolves logo

Leeds
2 - 1
Wolves

Rodrigo (24'), Ait-Nouri (74' og.)
Harrison (20'), Adams (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Podence (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Wolverhampton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

Last Six:
    Last Game: Leeds 6-2 Cagliari
    Sunday, July 31 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

    Wolverhampton Wanderers

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Farense 1-1 Wolves
      Sunday, July 31 at 6.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

      We said: Leeds United 2-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers

       While both managers will be satisfied with how their respective pre-seasons played out, we can see only one winner at the weekend. Without a recognised centre-forward in their squad, Wolves would take a draw if it was handed to them right now, but Leeds should have enough quality and enthusiasm to run out comfortable victors. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 47.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 25.1%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

      Result
      Leeds UnitedDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
      47.25% (0.22 0.22) 27.65% (0.332 0.33) 25.1% (-0.55 -0.55)
      Both teams to score 44.45% (-1.319 -1.32)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      39.65% (-1.463 -1.46)60.35% (1.464 1.46)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      19.5% (-1.12 -1.12)80.5% (1.123 1.12)
      Leeds United Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      74.36% (-0.55300000000001 -0.55)25.64% (0.555 0.56)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      39.47% (-0.76 -0.76)60.53% (0.762 0.76)
      Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      59.78% (-1.318 -1.32)40.22% (1.32 1.32)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      23.15% (-1.221 -1.22)76.85% (1.222 1.22)
      Score Analysis
          Leeds United 47.25%
          Wolverhampton Wanderers 25.1%
          Draw 27.64%
      Leeds UnitedDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
      1-0 @ 14.03% (0.54 0.54)
      2-0 @ 9.55% (0.22 0.22)
      2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.111 -0.11)
      3-0 @ 4.33% (0.032 0.03)
      3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.115 -0.12)
      3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.12 -0.12)
      4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
      4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.061 -0.06)
      Other @ 2.07%
      Total : 47.25%
      		1-1 @ 12.78% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
      0-0 @ 10.31% (0.554 0.55)
      2-2 @ 3.96% (-0.198 -0.2)
      Other @ 0.59%
      Total : 27.64%
      		0-1 @ 9.39% (0.179 0.18)
      1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.193 -0.19)
      0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.072 -0.07)
      1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.125 -0.13)
      0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.07 -0.07)
      2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.106 -0.11)
      Other @ 1.34%
      Total : 25.1%

      How you voted: Leeds vs Wolves

      Leeds United
      54.6%
      Draw
      21.1%
      Wolverhampton Wanderers
      24.3%
      280
      Head to Head
      Mar 18, 2022 8pm
      Wolves
      2-3
      Leeds
      Castro (26'), Trincao (45+11')
      Boly (6'), Jimenez (43')
      Jimenez (53')
      Harrison (63'), Rodrigo (66'), Ayling (90+1')
      Struijk (45+10'), Rodrigo (68'), Cresswell (74'), Kenneh (90+3'), Forshaw (90+4')
      Oct 23, 2021 3pm
      Leeds
      1-1
      Wolves
      Rodrigo (90+4' pen.)
      Shackleton (65'), Rodrigo (90+4')
      Hee-chan (10')
      Moutinho (5'), Kilman (50'), Saiss (53')
      Feb 19, 2021 8pm
      Wolves
      1-0
      Leeds
      Meslier (64' og.)
      Neto (90+1')
      Oct 19, 2020 8pm
      Leeds
      0-1
      Wolves

      Ayling (15'), Phillips (61')
      Jimenez (70')
      Moutinho (66')
      Mar 7, 2018 7.45pm
      Leeds
      0-3
      Wolves

      Forshaw (23'), Hernandez (64')
      Saiss (28'), Boly (45'), Afobe (74')
      > Match Report
      rhs 2.0
      Today's games header
      > View full version> Yesterday's results
      Tables header RHS
      TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
      1Liverpool19144147192846
      2Arsenal20117239182140
      3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
      4Chelsea20106439241536
      5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
      6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
      7Bournemouth209653023733
      8Aston Villa209563032-232
      9Fulham207943027330
      10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
      11Brentford208393835327
      12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
      13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
      14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
      15Crystal Palace204972128-721
      16Everton193881525-1017
      17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
      18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
      19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
      20Southampton2013161244-326
      > Premier League Full Table


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