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Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Wolves logo

Leeds
2 - 1
Wolves

Rodrigo (24'), Ait-Nouri (74' og.)
Harrison (20'), Adams (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Podence (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Wolverhampton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Leeds United 2-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers

While both managers will be satisfied with how their respective pre-seasons played out, we can see only one winner at the weekend. Without a recognised centre-forward in their squad, Wolves would take a draw if it was handed to them right now, but Leeds should have enough quality and enthusiasm to run out comfortable victors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 47.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
47.25% (0.22 0.22) 27.65% (0.332 0.33) 25.1% (-0.55 -0.55)
Both teams to score 44.45% (-1.319 -1.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.65% (-1.463 -1.46)60.35% (1.464 1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.5% (-1.12 -1.12)80.5% (1.123 1.12)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.36% (-0.55300000000001 -0.55)25.64% (0.555 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.47% (-0.76 -0.76)60.53% (0.762 0.76)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.78% (-1.318 -1.32)40.22% (1.32 1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.15% (-1.221 -1.22)76.85% (1.222 1.22)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 47.25%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 25.1%
    Draw 27.64%
Leeds UnitedDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
1-0 @ 14.03% (0.54 0.54)
2-0 @ 9.55% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.33% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 47.25%
1-1 @ 12.78% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.31% (0.554 0.55)
2-2 @ 3.96% (-0.198 -0.2)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 9.39% (0.179 0.18)
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 25.1%

How you voted: Leeds vs Wolves

Leeds United
Draw
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Leeds United
54.6%
Draw
21.1%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
24.3%
280
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2022 8pm
Wolves
2-3
Leeds
Castro (26'), Trincao (45+11')
Boly (6'), Jimenez (43')
Jimenez (53')
Harrison (63'), Rodrigo (66'), Ayling (90+1')
Struijk (45+10'), Rodrigo (68'), Cresswell (74'), Kenneh (90+3'), Forshaw (90+4')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Leeds
1-1
Wolves
Rodrigo (90+4' pen.)
Shackleton (65'), Rodrigo (90+4')
Hee-chan (10')
Moutinho (5'), Kilman (50'), Saiss (53')
Feb 19, 2021 8pm
Wolves
1-0
Leeds
Meslier (64' og.)
Neto (90+1')
Oct 19, 2020 8pm
Mar 7, 2018 7.45pm
Leeds
0-3
Wolves

Forshaw (23'), Hernandez (64')
Saiss (28'), Boly (45'), Afobe (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal291610353242958
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest29166749351454
4Chelsea29147853371649
5Manchester CityMan City29146955401548
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29121164842647
8Fulham2912984338545
9Aston Villa2912984145-445
10Bournemouth29128948361244
11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd29107123740-337
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton2971393236-434
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2997133349-1634
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2975174058-1826
18Ipswich TownIpswich2938182862-3417
19Leicester CityLeicester2945202565-4017
20Southampton2923242170-499


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