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Premier League
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Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 at 2pm UK
Elland Road
Brighton logo

Leeds
1 - 1
Brighton

Struijk (90+2')
Firpo (71'), Rodrigo (81'), Cooper (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Welbeck (21')
Caicedo (65'), Lamptey (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

Last Six:
Last Game: Brentford 1-2 Leeds
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Brighton & Hove Albion

Last Six:
Last Game: Brighton 3-1 West Ham
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Leeds United 0-2 Brighton & Hove Albion

 Momentum and morale in the visiting camp could hardly be higher right now, and the giant-killing Seagulls also boast a much fresher squad and complement of options off the bench compared to their depleted hosts. The highly-anticipated return of Liam Cooper did not do much good for Leeds in midweek, and with the quick turnaround also working against them, we can only back Potter's in-form side to get the job done - with another clean sheet in tow - and leave the Whites in major trouble in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-0 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
25.86% (0.392 0.39) 23.96% (0.139 0.14) 50.17% (-0.529 -0.53)
Both teams to score 55.99% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.39% (-0.273 -0.27)45.61% (0.275 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.06% (-0.262 -0.26)67.94% (0.26300000000001 0.26)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.48% (0.17 0.17)31.52% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.09% (0.192 0.19)67.91% (-0.191 -0.19)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.77% (-0.306 -0.31)18.23% (0.308 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.73% (-0.524 -0.52)49.26% (0.525 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 25.86%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 50.17%
    Draw 23.96%
Leeds UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 6.64% (0.107 0.11)
2-1 @ 6.52% (0.071 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.83% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.51% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.47% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 25.86%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.75% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.96%
0-1 @ 9.78% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.61% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.32% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
1-3 @ 5.45% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.72% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.32% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-4 @ 2.01% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 50.17%

How you voted: Leeds vs Brighton

Leeds United
30.3%
Draw
14.0%
Brighton & Hove Albion
55.6%
178
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2021 5.30pm
Brighton
0-0
Leeds

Bissouma (81')

Firpo (5'), Llorente (66'), Shackleton (85')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Brighton
2-0
Leeds
Gross (14' pen.), Welbeck (79')
Gross (76')

Ayling (88')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Leeds
0-1
Brighton

Ayling (42')
Maupay (17')
Webster (71')
Mar 18, 2017 5.30pm
Leeds
2-0
Brighton
Wood (63', 85' pen.)

Rosenior (37'), Murray (67')
Dec 9, 2016 7.45pm
Brighton
2-0
Leeds
Murray (23' pen.), Hemed (82' pen.)
Murray (26')

Ayling (11'), Janssen (19'), Bartley (81')
Phillips (23')
> Match Report
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Today's games header
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Chargers
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Texans
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326
> Premier League Full Table


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