We said: Leeds United 1-3 Chelsea
Leeds' defensive crisis has gone from bad to worse, and had Arsenal been able to find a ruthless streak at the Emirates, the Whites could have been making the journey home having shipped four or five.
Chelsea's recent sticky patch will have Marsch's side believing that a surprise result could be on the cards, but Tuchel will be demanding a strong performance before the trip to Wembley and should see his side respond in kind to deepen the hosts' relegation fears.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 75.75%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 9.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Leeds United win it was 2-1 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.