Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Togo had a probability of 15.65%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.43%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Togo win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.