Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 64.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 16.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Hibernian win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Hibernian |
64.29% ( -0.04) | 19.55% ( 0) | 16.15% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 55.85% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.39% ( 0.06) | 38.61% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.09% ( 0.06) | 60.91% ( -0.07) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.65% ( 0) | 11.35% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.96% ( 0.01) | 36.04% ( -0.02) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63% ( 0.08) | 37% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.21% ( 0.08) | 73.79% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Hibernian |
2-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.17% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.9% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.71% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 4.22% Total : 64.29% | 1-1 @ 9.08% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.55% | 1-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.17% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.08% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 16.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 44 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
8 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |