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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 10
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Easter Road
Motherwell logo

Hibernian
1 - 0
Motherwell

Porteous (67')
Hanlon (39'), McKirdy (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Slattery (43'), Efford (74'), Lamie (79'), Penney (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hibernian and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ross County 0-2 Hibernian
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 0-5 Motherwell
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hibernian 2-1 Motherwell

Hibernian will be expected to continue their winning run in this fixture although Motherwell could be a tricky test after a narrow defeat to Celtic followed by a comfortable win against Ross County. A win against a struggling Ross County was a good way for Motherwell to get back on track but we believe Hibernian will be just too strong for them in this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 17.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hibernian in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hibernian.

Result
HibernianDrawMotherwell
59.25% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 23.36% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 17.39% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.18% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.2% (0.039000000000001 0.04)52.8% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.58% (0.033000000000001 0.03)74.42% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.47% (0.025999999999996 0.03)17.53% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.94% (0.047000000000004 0.05)48.05% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.99% (0.0010000000000048 0)44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.87%80.13% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Hibernian 59.24%
    Motherwell 17.39%
    Draw 23.36%
HibernianDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 13.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.69%
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.79% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.43% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 59.24%
1-1 @ 11.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 23.36%
0-1 @ 6.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.6% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 17.39%

How you voted: Hibernian vs Motherwell

Hibernian
69.2%
Draw
23.1%
Motherwell
7.7%
13
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 12.30pm
Motherwell
1-2
Hibernian
Efford (43')
Roberts (7'), McGinley (80'), Lamie (83')
Mugabi (2')
Melkersen (15', 37')
Melkersen (11'), Jasper (54'), Allan (85'), Macey (90+3')
Jan 26, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Hibernian
1-1
Motherwell
Nisbet (33')
Newell (64'), Campbell (74')
Watt (60')
Slattery (42'), van Veen (75'), Goss (90+2')
Aug 1, 2021 4.30pm
Motherwell
2-3
Hibernian
Van Veen (12'), Mugabi (29')
Carroll (22'), Slattery (31'), van Veen (55'), O'Donnell (69'), Kelly (70')
Magennis (17'), Doidge (56'), Boyle (70' pen.)
Hanlon (48'), Stevenson (59'), Porteous (76')
Apr 24, 2021 5pm
Hibernian
2-2
Motherwell
Hibernian win 4-2 on penalties
Doidge (52'), Irvine (80')
Gogic (45'), Boyle (88'), Irvine (115'), Hallberg (120+2')
Gogic (120+2')
Lamie (82'), Watt (88')
O'Hara (112'), McGinley (120')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1211103543134
2Aberdeen12101125121331
3RangersRangers12723179823
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd135531914520
5Motherwell126151616019
6St Mirren145361923-418
7Dundee134362225-315
8Ross County143651222-1015
9St Johnstone144191727-1013
10Kilmarnock133371526-1112
11Hearts142391524-99
12Hibernian131571222-108


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