Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.