Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 81.71%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 5.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.97%) and 0-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.89%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-0 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Celtic |
5.9% ( 0.28) | 12.39% ( 0.58) | 81.71% ( -0.86) |
Both teams to score 42.92% ( -0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.07% ( -1.76) | 34.93% ( 1.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.09% ( -1.99) | 56.91% ( 2) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.89% ( -0.41) | 54.11% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.66% ( -0.25) | 87.34% ( 0.25) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.52% ( -0.52) | 6.48% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.8% ( -1.45) | 24.2% ( 1.45) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Celtic |
1-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.94% Total : 5.9% | 1-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.51% Total : 12.39% | 0-2 @ 13.12% ( 0.4) 0-3 @ 11.97% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.57) 0-4 @ 8.19% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 7.36% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 5.03% ( -0.21) 0-5 @ 4.49% ( -0.27) 1-5 @ 2.76% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.05) 0-6 @ 2.05% ( -0.19) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.09) 1-6 @ 1.26% ( -0.13) Other @ 4.03% Total : 81.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 40 | 4 | 36 | 37 |
2 | Aberdeen | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 33 |
3 | RangersRangers | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 26 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
5 | Motherwell | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 16 |
8 | Ross County | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
11 | Hibernian | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Hearts | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 10 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |