Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 2-1 (7.88%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.